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Poll finds Trumps support same as before New York conviction

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A new poll found that former President Donald Trump’s conviction on 34 felonies in New York hasn’t dented his support with voters.

Forty percent of voters said Trump’s criminal conviction of 34 felonies does not impact their vote this November, according to a new Emerson College Polling national survey. Another 33% said it makes them less likely to support Trump and 27% said it would make them more likely to back Trump.

“Trump’s support in our polling remained the same before and after his conviction,” Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said. “A majority of Democrats say it makes them less likely to support Trump (51%) and a majority of Republicans (55%) say it makes them more likely to support Trump. A plurality of independents say it makes no impact (41%), while 38% are less likely to vote for Trump and 21% more likely.”

The poll found Trump had a narrow lead over President Joe Biden, with 46% of voters behind Trump and 45% backing Biden in the 2024 presidential election. Nine percent were undecided.

A jury convicted Trump, 77, of 34 counts of falsifying business records to cover up hush money payments to an adult film actress. The judge in that case has scheduled sentencing for July 11, four days before the 2024 Republican National Convention in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, where Republicans are set to select Trump as the 2024 nominee.

Under New York state law, falsifying business records in the first degree is a Class E felony, punishable by a maximum of four years in prison per count.

Voters won’t have a say at sentencing, but if they did, 40% said Trump should get prison time, 25% think he should pay a fine, and 15% think he should get probation. Twenty percent were unsure, according to the Emerson survey.